​The enactment of a Universal Basic Income (UBI) is dependent upon a couple variables.  The first is theory.

In a perfect world, a UBI would replace all other federal welfare spending programs.  Adults would be given a monthly stipend from the government.  Rather than depend on various programs, such as for food aid, health insurance, etc. they would be free to take care of their needs as they see fit, on an individual basis.

The bureaucracy that runs and maintains these programs would be folded in favor of a check-cutting operation akin to that of social security.  The potential savings could amount to more than half of current federal government spending. 
There’s also the intangible benefit of a market working more efficiently.

In the real world however, the aforementioned savings translate into special interests, starting with 535 federal legislators in the U.S. Congress.

In the traditional sense, they’re job is simply to represent their districts’/states’ interests in the federal government, giving voice to a diverse set of American voices from coast to coast, Rio Grande to the Arctic.

In reality, with almost $7T in annual spending and 10s of 1000s of pages in the federal register, they’ve morphed into “getting things done” puppets.  They need to be seen as dispensing favors to this group or that.  If there is less to “do,” or less taxpayer revenue to dole out, they would likely feel useless, unneeded.  The prospect is no doubt untenable to some.

Then there’s the bureaucracy, staffed with 1000s of civilian employees who have jobs on the line.  The inherent nature of government expects less of them given the fact that it will never “go out of business” due to lack of competition, or profit-seeking.  That makes it too cushy of a gig to give up without a fight.

Finally there are the nominal beneficiaries of these programs, represented most vocally through various lobbying groups. 

Though those that are actually dependent on federal welfare programs might reasonably be expected to protest the programs’ demise, so would their advocates.  The reason for these activists’ 9-5 existence is lobbying not only for these programs’ continuation, but many times their expansion.

This is not to exclude all the state and local level agitators reluctant to see the federal gravy train shut or slowed down.  One ostensible principle put forth by these factions is that “we’re all Americans, and should therefore take care of each other collectively, from rich states to poor states.”

There are yet other, countervailing principles at work.

While it’s true that a UBI has garnered support from some conservative corners of the debate, it is predicated on the notion that the responsibilities of the federal government are accepted as-is.  Moreover, to one degree or another, it should ‘take care’ of its citizens.

Not everyone accepts this precept. 

Some reject this notion for multiple reasons: recipients do not have to work for it, it comes courtesy of a faceless bureaucracy, it robs them of the incentive to invest in themselves, work, save, etc.

Plus, there are multiple non-profit, private charities in that arena, who arguably do as good, if not a better job.  These charities are funded by voluntary donations, a fact that could lead to a compromise in the public sphere.

The operations of the federal government are largely funded by taxes on income and investment gains.  By definition, these levies discourage these optimal, beneficial behaviors. 

Society progresses, and people flourish, when they work, when they find a match for their passions and/or skills.  They are productive.  When they save a portion of their disposable income, some of that finds its way into the hands of those of us who have ideas for new or improved products. 

These flow back into the hands of consumers who then utilize them to make their lives easier, frequently saving them time, which in turn can find its way back into (more) productive ventures.  It’s a virtuous cycle …

… when unimpeded by obstacles such as taxation.  

To compound matters, progressive taxation tends to fall disproportionately on those who are most productive (as measured by the marketable value of respective skillsets), more able to save and keep this cycle going.  Of the various types of taxation, the ones we’d ideally frown most on are those that disincentivize the behaviors/habits society most benefits from.

That leaves consumption. 

There is the mistaken notion that consumer expenditures “drive economic growth.”  This is likely due to how Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is reported.  More than two-thirds of it is chalked up to us buying stuff. 

Consumption is literally the destruction of all that came before it.  It’s the end of the production process.  Destroying something being labeled as growth is the equivalent to the popular misconception that WWII brought us out of the Great Depression.

Alas, we do it.  After all, we’re Americans.  Part of our trade deficit is due to our preference to buy more than we save (hence the foreign direct investment which fills the gap).  We’re going to buy stuff.  Only an exorbitant level of sales tax will stop us from doing so. 
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If we want to move forward with a UBI, repealing the 16th amendment is a crucial step.  If we want to move forward as a society, the aforementioned government programs would go away with no replacement whatsoever.

“Dad, I regret ever introducing you to that show.” 

So said my seventeen-year-old recently.  Some day she might just accept it, and give me “Great British Bake Off” paraphernalia for my birthday like her sisters did a few weeks ago.

She said she’d watch the new season with me, but that has yet to materialize.  Oh well.  Maybe she’ll join me before the finale drops.  Her and her sisters would learn about more than merely baking.

Being young ladies today, I would hope the first thing they pick up is a lesson in confidence, something series (“season,” in Brit-speak) 4 finalist Ruby Tandoh sadly, inexplicably seemed to lack.

Despite winning “Star Baker” (best overall for an episode) three times, a feat shared by only a handful of other GBBO contestants, she also seemed to shed more tears than any other. 

She was always doubting herself, approaching judgments “looking forlorn,” as former judge Mary Berry once said to her.  Always prefacing with “this is wrong, that’s off,” etc. 

It’s one thing to hold yourself to high standards.  It’s quite another to expect the worst without appearing to hope for the best.  It almost defeats the purpose.  Why continue on?  The anxiety would seem unbearable.

A similar mentality weighed on four-time SB and series 10 finalist Steph Blackwell, whose mother implored her to “start believing in herself.”  Being so cursed would have crushed the victor of her final, David Atherton. 

He is the only series champion to never win SB.  In fact, he went full Susan Lucci and came in second in the “Technical” (the only challenge unknown to bakers before each episode) five times before eventually winning.

Like many contenders over the show’s twelve-year run, he used humor to deal with continually falling short: “Second … again.  I repel first.”  “Finally got first place.  Just eight tries.” 

Laughing is a much more enjoyable way of dealing with stress than sadness, or anger.  There’s enough of that on “Hell’s Kitchen.”

After all, baking like this is presumably an escape. 

For series 9 baker Terry Hartill, it “filled that void” of “massive loss” after his wife died of cancer.  In her tearful exit (many are), series 10 alumnus Priya O’Shea recalled how she was “just gonna do the things I enjoy” when she left her job as a marketing consultant.  “You can’t go wrong.”

Still others simply want to see how they measure up against amateur bakers.  As the show grew in popularity, those applicants got better and better.  This led, perhaps unsurprisingly, to more plaudits.

For series’ 1-7, judge Paul Hollywood extended the coveted “Hollywood Handshake” for a mere eleven bakes.  That was nearly matched in series 8 alone.

Not only were three given out in the “Signature” one week, but in one “Showstopper,” Hollywood had eventual finalist Steven Carter-Bailey take his place at the judging table due to his “ridiculous”ly good “coloured-bread sculpture.” 
Then the dam burst.

Among the twelve handshakes scattered throughout series 9, an unprecedented two were handed out during the “Cake Week” SS.  “I’m disappointed with myself,” Hollywood later quipped. 

But as he indicated amidst this deluge, when the level of quality is “FAR better,” the praise is proportionate.  After adjusting to the new reality, he “raise(d) the bar” for ensuing series’.  Bakers would have to “push the boat out” farther.
This is all to the better, both in baking and in general. 

We all benefit when a few in this field or that keep testing the limits of what’s possible.  It’s how society progresses, how day-to-day life gets a little bit easier, while freeing up time for these additional pursuits.  

For GBBO, those floodgates were arguably kicked open by a champion who declared she was “never ever gonna put boundaries on (herself) ever again.”

There’s a reason why Nadiya Hussain’s series 6, and its final, were two of the most highly rated, respectively, in the show’s history.

For one, Ian Cumming and Tamal Ray joined her to produce arguably the most flawless SS ever.  “The best-tasting final we’ve ever had,” as proclaimed by Hollywood, has yet to be eclipsed. 

But there was also a build-up, as Nadiya struggled early on.

While Cumming was racking up SBs (three straight), she was finishing at the back of the pack on Technicals.   So surprised she seemed to finally win one in week 5, she waived her hand sheepishly to claim credit. 

“My kids and my husband are going to be so proud.  It’s weird because I’m never proud of myself.”  And right she was.

After her daughter charmingly listed all the kinds of cakes she liked in the family snapshot of the finale, her husband oozed support and respect for her.  It was eminently endearing. 

When your spouse tells you how “amazing you are,” and how “proud” he is of you, the sky is the limit.

He backed it up almost immediately when they moved to the London area where she’s “(made) a career out of” it.  She was even asked to make a birthday cake for Queen Elizabeth II.

The useful takeaways from this show are endless.

It’s not that I don’t watch other things.  The girls usually scatter anyway when I put on Maiden or Metallica, or even “Ozark” or “Better Call Saul.”  GBBO though, is my anchor show, when I’m winding down for the day or whatnot.
 
The purity of it, the honesty of the participants, the intense competition, the absence of manufactured drama … nothing compares to it.
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There are many worse ways to kill time.

In a recent discussion with a group of principled, politically astute folks, the subject of property taxes came up.  More specifically, protesting them.  One of them felt it was his duty to do so.  Needless to say, there was some animosity in the room.

The topic is oftentimes hotter than the Texas sun this time of year.

A few days later, Councilmen John Courage (D9) and Clayton Perry (D10) proposed raising the homestead exemption to 5%, from the current .01%.  It was voted down.    

Our energies are being misallocated here.  These anecdotes point to why the whole property tax system should be uprooted and tossed aside. 

The first problem is with the way it is constructed.

While there are various exemptions homeowners can utilize to lower their respective bills, the one the councilmen were trying to increase is the only one available to all.  This fundamental unfairness is not without consequences.

New district 1 councilman Mario Bravo implied that the city can only afford to “protect senior citizens” with exemptions.  That “protection” though, sometimes costs non-senior households four times as much in taxes.

If some of the un-“protected” bolt city limits, those who remain face the possibility of a rate hike to make up for the subsequent shortfall.  Or, corporate landlords scoop up the abandoned houses, consolidating home ownership in fewer, bigger hands that can easily afford a higher bill.

No one would quarrel with helping seniors, or veterans for that matter, the other main beneficiary of current exemptions.  Personal contributions to programs run by groups like the United Way, or various religious organizations, or even senior discounts show as much.

But picking winners and losers via property taxes breeds resentment, and probably explains why some council members promote workshops to help citizens dispute their bill. 

However, this contributes to the next point of contention.    

We certainly don’t begrudge citizens’ efforts to minimize how much government plunders from them.  This is especially the case when the tax assessor’s appraised value is out of whack with private market estimates.

To their credit, these protesters are arguably more in-tune with the odiousness of this racket than the vast majority who have their mortgage lender escrow it for them.

But we wonder if citizens expend the same time and energy objecting to the tax itself.  If not, protesting it arguably justifies its existence, and the millions of dollars the county spends to collect it.  

In practice, the property tax is as detrimental as the income tax.  Both disincentivize and erode the ability to save and invest, the sole acts which foster the prosperity we all enjoy.

Also, whereas you could lose your freedom for not paying tax on your income, you could lose your home for not ponying up on your property.  And the cut for public schools, the only one bigger than that of the city, arguably skews K-12 education. 

Likewise, given how easy it is to punch up our respective bills, it compromises our privacy.

It doesn’t have to be this way.  A consumption tax is less distorting, less discriminating, and less intrusive.

The first and last gripe you’ll hear about it is that it’s “regressive,” meaning the lower someone’s income, the higher the effective tax they pay when purchasing non-necessities. 

But that essentially implies that consumers are entitled to that third T.V., or that drum set, or that boat, etc.

The second counter-argument is that consumption powers the economy, and therefore we can’t discourage it.  That is the height of misinformation perpetuated by the media.  Think about it.

When you consume something, you literally chip away, or outright destroy the value that it embodied.  Consumption ends production.  Moreover, you don’t have the former without the latter.  If we don’t produce, we don’t consume.

An extra $1.50 paid in tax on that sixth pair of $150 shoes could almost make up what the city would lose if it stopped discouraging San Antonians from building wealth.  But that hike probably wouldn’t even be necessary.

People spend when they’re happy.  It’s one byproduct of landing a new job, or getting promoted.  Same for the business owner when, after a lot of work and investment, their venture succeeds enough to hire that new employee.  It’s a virtuous cycle.

They’ve even invented a phrase for shopping sprees when people are sad; “retail therapy.” 

We’re Americans.  We like to buy stuff, so much so that we rent storage space for our extra stuff.  That’s not going to change, and can only be enhanced when people don’t feel like they’re being looted involuntarily.

Combine that with clearing out some of the regulatory thicket that slows down growth, and rightsizing the expenditure side of the city ledger, and tax rates wouldn’t have to go up on the toys we want. 

Politicos and entrenched interests will naturally decry this for one reason or another.  That’s to be expected since their livelihood depends in part on a misplaced confidence that they can manage citizens’ resources better than they who earned it.

We must push them to do the right thing first (abolish the property tax), adjust accordingly, and call them out when they spin it as a false choice between that and “hav(ing) sidewalks.”
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Denise Gutierrez-Homer was an interior design and decorative artist for 25 years, is a partner in a family real estate firm, and ran for San Antonio Mayor in Spring 2021.  Christopher E. Baecker works in the energy industry, teaches college economics, and ran for city council in the same.  She is Vice President of InfuseSA, where he is Policy Director. 

Concerts are back!  It’s the somewhat less exciting news however, that has my attention: so is new music.

My buddies and I are set to see Megadeth/Lamb of God/Hatebreed, and Testament/Exodus/Death Angel, both rescheduled from last year, with bolstered lineups.  The mighty Obituary is also going out sandwiched between longtime Ozzy guitarist Zakk Wylde’s Black Label Society, and veterans Prong. 

One of the last shows I saw before the pandemic was Iron Maiden’s “Legacy of the Beast.”  They’re making a noteworthy splash of their own soon: the release of their 17th studio album “Senjutsu.”

To say bands like these, still blasting away, are an inspiration would be an understatement. 

When we see Maiden out supporting “Senjutsu,” drummer Nicko McBrain will be blowing out 70 birthday candles.  It’s mind-boggling!  A new album is just as impressive to me.

When some bands reach this point in their career, they don’t “see a reason” to record new music.  Their catalogues are plenty massive to support a week’s worth of unique setlists. 

And that’s cool.  Fans will still pay top dollar to see their favorite tunes played by (mostly) those who recorded them.

Moreover, it’s not baseless speculation that “Senjutsu” is no more likely to become part of the Maiden lore than their 2015 effort, “Book of Souls.” 

From their self-titled debut over 40 years ago, to their masterpiece “Powerslave” a few years later, to the underrated “Seventh Son of a Seventh Son,” it was then, during the 1980s, when fans swooned and became hooked. 

That bond would survive the departures of vocalist Bruce Dickinson and lead guitarist Adrian Smith, and the rough 1990s that followed.

Since both were welcomed back at the turn of the century, Maiden has put out six new albums.  Almost 400 years of life amongst the six members hasn’t slowed them down.  Nor has cancer on one of the most recognizable set of pipes in all of music.

And when they tour, they don’t do so lightly.

Not only do they spend months admirably promoting their new albums, they take to the road in ‘off’ years to play nothing but classics.  This arguably endears them to their fans.

That’s not to dismiss the real possibility however, that new stuff could click with metalheads.  The most recent offerings from Metallica and Anthrax for example, are sure to be represented in future concerts.

That can’t happen though, without first putting in the effort to write, collaborate, and record.  Oddly enough, I’m reminded of my 75 year-old dad. 

For a decade or so, he and my step-mother have been living an ideal retirement: pulling a 5th-wheel across the country.  They also sell RV supplies and accessories along the way. 

When I asked him about the latter, he told me “I feel like I still have more to give in life.”  It kind of made me proud.

I’ve never been one who’s had his 62nd or 70th birthday circled on the calendar as the day I’m simply going to stop.  Only in the last few years have I found a hobby/side-gig that I would love to do ‘in retirement’ (teaching).

It’s clear that social security and Medicare, at the very least, need reform.  Nevertheless, we don’t have to tap them and tap out of productive activities at a prescribed time.  My dad and my bands inspire me in this regard. 
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Now if I could just get him to appreciate the beauty of a galloping Steve Harris bass line ...  

As sure as the sun rises, we can count on a study showing how the economy does better under democrat presidents than republican ones.  And so it goes with David Leonhardt in the New York Times recently. 

Ever since I’ve been studying economics, one of the most important, recurring precepts is to keep things simple. 

“As you may have already, and will no doubt see in the future,” I tell my students regularly, “there’s much in real life (politics) that mucks things up.”

That said, if my students voted for a bonus class at the end of the semester, where they asked me to elaborate on the government’s effect on the economy, it would go something like this …
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When you pay taxes, a couple explicit things happen, and a couple implicit ones don’t. 

Every dollar the state takes is one less you have to spend on a good or service someone else worked to create.  It’s one less dollar of income for that person or entity.  Consequently, she is one step closer to laying off an employee, or going out of business altogether. 

Or, it is one less dollar you can invest in yourself.  It could have been learning to paint or play guitar, or going back to school.  Furthermore, it’s one less dollar you have to invest in your own idea for a new product or improvement thereon.

It could be someone else’s idea to which you’re one less dollar able to pledge.  It could be as simple as your kid’s pet grooming venture, or as big as a Fortune 500 company.

It’s one less vote of confidence in an enterprise that has created such value for society that additional employees are needed.  It’s a little less business for that machinery company that produces the capital needed to help the booming company’s employees satisfy customers.

In the end, it’s one less dollar of a return for you.  Instead, that dollar finds a couple different dead-ends.

First, it might go toward enlisting the assistance of a tax specialist to ensure you don’t run afoul of the Internal Revenue Service (IRS).  For many of us, this can cost more than $100. 

As importantly, it’s an hour or more not spent with your kids, on hobbies, or more industrious endeavors. 

And that’s just for us on the demand side.

I also emphasize to my students that the supply side is of at least equal importance to market equilibrium.  Even though just a handful of us exist there (excluding the labor we supply), it demands the same respect.

These folks spend more time and/or money complying with tax authorities.  That is many less dollars that could be spent improving their business, hiring additional help, etc.

It’s many less dollars they could donate to a scholarship fund, or fewer hours they could spend serving on a school board. 

Instead, all these resources are vacuumed into the black hole of government, where wealth and productivity go to die.
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There are good people who work in government and the tax compliance industry.  But their talents are wasted serving a public bureaucracy not subject to two phenomena that make the private sector hum while generating prosperity: competition and a profit motive.

Instead, they’re tasked with turning what’s left of the eroded wealth back out into society, where it deadens, continuously, much of what it comes into contact with.  Individual or entity, doesn’t matter.

If an enterprise could survive in a competitive environment, it wouldn’t seek any government largesse.  Domestically, we see this in the postal delivery industry, and when activists become convinced of the superiority of renewable sources of energy. 

It’s a cruel irony that their subsidies come courtesy of the taxes paid by their private competitors.  It’s poetic justice when the latter prevail anyway, particularly when aided indirectly by activists’ policy preferences in other areas.    

It manifests itself on the international stage when legacy firms cling to the good ole days at the expense of innovation.  Consumers indirectly subsidize this complacency by paying prices that are artificially inflated by tariffs on more efficient competitors. 

In an increasingly free and interconnected world, they invoke national security, like the steel and aluminum industries.  Or, they appeal to base, red-meat instincts like “Buy American,” nevermind the damage done to larger domestic companies that use such resources as inputs.

If this welfare sounds like an unfair advantage, that’s because it is.  All the favored companies need to do is stay in good with their political benefactors so they continue to tilt the scales.

This incentivizes organizational dependency just the same as it does for individuals. 

One “bold” proposal that made the rounds during the presidential campaign for example, especially among democrats, is financial relief for child care.  Some proposed an outright universal entitlement. 

If this were to go directly to parents, say in the form of beefing up the child care tax credit, they would certainly be able to pay more.  It would not be long however, before preschools would raise their prices in order to balance the market.

If public options, to borrow a phrase, opened their doors, current operators would be increasingly likely to close theirs, undercut by artificial price ceilings. 

Throw in social justice warriors’ drive for above-market wages, likely unionization, and Uncle Sam’s deceptively deep pockets, and you have another line item putting pressure on the fiscal budget.

Distorted price signals and artificial demand, one way or another, eat away at our earnings.  Contrary to what some folks may hope, no law can be passed to prevent any of this. 
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My students are not that much older than my teenage daughters.  Most of their life has come with rules via parental guidance.  No doubt some may wonder why a law can’t simply be created to deal with market shortcomings, real or perceived.

When I ask “how do/did you like being restricted by those rules yourself,” they pause for a bit.  It’s as desirable to be subjected to them as adults as it was when minors.  Only in later years, there is collateral and financial damage that comes with them.

This is when it’s especially important that they put themselves in the shoes of suppliers.  As youngsters, and sometimes consumers, we don’t feel the brunt of regulation as much. 

Imagine though, getting a creative spark one day.  You discover an idea for something that seems quite useful, or it simply satisfies you in some way. 

It snowballs from there by delighting your friends and family, some of whom might say “you should try to sell that and make a mint!”

Now all you need to do is make sure that no more than 25% of your home is used for this venture.  Also, no non-residents can be enlisted to help you, paid or not.

At any rate, you can’t make food or fix furniture at home for pay.  No music lessons of two or more students, either.
You’d also need a license if you want to sell your creation on the move. 

It might be advisable, and is often suggested, to employ the assistance of an attorney to navigate these, and other requirements.

These are a handful of examples at just a local level.  Beyond that, and fifty states across the country, there are almost 90,000 pages and over 3,000 rules at the federal level by which Americans must abide.

More than simply the monetary and labor costs of compliance, redirected from productive to non-productive purposes, regulations tug at the fabric of the community.

When a business has to hire help at a rate in excess of the skill set required, a degree of anxiety is introduced into the equation.  That employee may very well work out.  Or, they may not, at which point the costly turnover process begins. 

This only hastens the inexorable drive toward automation.

There’s the burden of responsibility shifted from the employee to the employer when the latter must divert potential pay for the former to unemployment taxes.  This in turn incentivizes the employee to more frivolous consumption at the expense of diligent savings put aside for a rainy day.

To a degree, the employer assumes a paternalistic role as the employee shrinks back toward dependency, as when it is compelled to offer health insurance in the absence of a freer, more flexible market. 

We forgo the most organic way to weigh on a member of the community if we believe he/she is erring in their business practices; hitting their bottom line by depriving them of patronage.

Instead, businesses are caught in a triangular firing squad of onerous regulations, potential lawsuits and bad press.  No wonder so few take the dive to start one.
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If elitists in academia, the media and government were truly interested in lifting people up, their best course of action would be to set their models, and hence their egos embedded within, aside.

In lieu of that, they could at least give a comprehensive picture with the measurements they cite.

I caution my students that, when they read the news, oftentimes there is a gauge in the shadows that is at least as important as the one in the spotlight.  The labor force participation rate (LFP), and foreign direct investment (FDI) immediately come to mind.

The headline unemployment (UE) rate is the sexy figure that gets all the attention.  However, a 5% UE when only 60% of able-bodied adults are in the labor force means 43% of the populace still isn’t working. 

That 5% UE with a 70% LFP means only a third of people are inactive. 

As to the latter, the trade deficit (TD), to the extent one exists, is nearly always cast in a negative light.  Nevermind that it signals heightened purchasing power, necessarily the result of economic growth (one of the reliable ways to decrease a TD incidentally, is a recession). 

Part of the reason for that growth is the level of FDI, the counterbalance to the TD.  It reflects the fact that investors, domestic as well as foreign, see the U.S. as a most desirable place for their financial capital. 

If politicians’ scare tactics about the TD work on you, the best way to remedy it is to save more and consume less.  Otherwise, enjoy the inexpensive toys that accrue to your work effort.
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Leonhardt is certainly correct when he says “the economy’s performance stems from millions of decisions made every day by businesses and consumers, many of which have little relation to government policy.”

That’s why we can’t ascribe too much to one person’s actions, even a president.  That said, what a president does, or says, isn’t totally without effect. 

Perhaps no area is more indicative of his or her utterances than the kind of dollar they want.  Reagan and Clinton proved as much.  They wanted a stable, even strong dollar, and they got one.  As a result, those were the last times we saw authentic economic growth.

And they came from different political parties.
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Attaining genuine prosperity really isn’t all that complicated.  It’s an easy story to tell to my daughters and students.  Adults would do well to declutter the white noise of politics and keep things simple when attempting to surmise which policies are desirable, and which ones are not.

My daughters continually make me proud.  From top academic standings, to leadership positions in extracurricular activities, the hits keep rolling.

I was particularly stoked recently when, not only did my oldest start a job at Chick Fil A, but her sister told me she was going to apply to Home Depot.  “It’s certainly a (labor) seller’s market,” I told her.

Uncle Sam is doing his darndest to make it so, albeit not in the ideal way.

Ever since pounding the economy into submission with overbearing lockdowns, misallocated spending, and burdensome rules, erroneously blaming the pandemic the whole time, he’s been attempting to patch up the damage with enhanced unemployment benefits, ‘stimulus’ checks, etc.

I’m reminded of a nephew pushing one of his brothers almost out of a moving truck.  After catching him, he bragged to their mother “I saved him!”

The core reason my girls can command high starting wages is because they’re competing against relatively fewer workers.  When employers are faced with that reality, they have to pay more to acquire labor.    

To state the obvious, high wages are good. 

In a free society, they’re the natural outgrowth of higher market value produced.  In some cases, they attract more capital investment that allows us to do more and/or create value in other, newer areas.

When they’re the result of pro-active government policy however, they unfairly threaten the existence of the employers forced to pay them.

Big Business can typically manage the nuisance.  Their bottom line is big enough to absorb the hits.  They also have more resources to automate some processes over the long haul.

Not so much for the little guy. 

Getting an enterprise off the ground means heightened pressure to keep a lid on expenses.  That’s why it’s not uncommon for owners to refrain from taking (much of) a salary at the outset.

But even the distinction between big business and small business can be blurry.

A friend who franchises a major North American hair salon told me that stylists have “not all come back” to work.  “Unemployment is really hurting us.”  I’ve heard similar concerns from franchisees before.

It’s a microcosm of what’s going on across the country, where an hourly wage of almost $17 is “in line with what many people receive (in) unemployment benefits.”

One could be forgiven for mistaking that as a backdoor push for a minimum wage beyond $15.

Not content to rest on their laurels (to the extent that they can be seen as such), Democrats in Washington D.C. want to pile on.

Among other ‘free’ stuff they want to bill to higher taxes on the rich is a $225 billion paid sick leave program.  Part of that would mandate employers provide seven days per year.

They also want to strip some autonomy from those franchisees by tying them closer to their corporate sponsors.  Part of the fallout there would be a greater susceptibility to unionization of their employees. 

To keep their doors open, some businesses have to pass subsequent increased costs on to consumers.  While we finance this bloat on one hand, we subsidize the unemployed on the other.

Though most are not wired to abuse the system, there are just enough who selectively pass on more than 8 million job openings. 

And these are just the folks counted in the labor force. 

When it comes to macroeconomic measurements, I implore my students to get the whole picture.  Though the unemployment (UE) rate gets the headlines, there is another, equally important figure that gets less attention; the labor force participation rate (LFP).

A 5% UE is good, but when only 60% of able-bodied adults are in the labor force (with a job or actively looking), 43% of the populace still isn’t working.

That same 5% UE applied to a 70% LFP means only a third are inactive. 

Before governments overreacted to the coronavirus, the LFP was rising while UE was setting record lows on a monthly basis.  Now, both are sputtering: the former two points lower; the latter, three points higher, respectively. 

To his credit, President Biden recently said unemployment benefits are at risk if a “suitable job” is turned down.  In the same breath however, he doesn’t “see much evidence” that they deter the job search.

For a group of fellow travelers who routinely talk about “common sense” policy, they seem to lack the core component.

If my daughters benefit from these ill-conceived policies, so be it.  After all, a chunk of their earnings will eventually be used to pay for the wreckage wrought by the government on college tuition.  Ironic.
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Still, it’d be ideal in the long-run if elitists in government and academia set aside their models, and hence their egos, and simply let people work for/with each other unobstructed.

“Was that the BLM guy?”

His name is Pharoah Clark.  He had come over to fist-bump me on his way out of the KLRN studios.  Candidates were there filming our respective explanations for running for city council. 

He and his Uniting Wisdom group stepped to the forefront during last summer’s protests following the killing of George Floyd in Minneapolis.  I introduced myself when I entered the waiting area.

Though we had a few minutes to chat, I didn’t have the chance to tell him that it was his declaration in November that started my wheels turning about doing the same, albeit for different reasons.

He’s probably the candidate most closely associated with one of the propositions on this May’s ballot.

If passed, Prop B would strip police officers of the ability to collectively bargain for wages and benefits.  Fix SAPD, which spearheaded the petition drive, believes passage will hasten reform within the force. 

The police and their supporters feel it amounts to defunding. 

It’s not every day an issue pits traditionally-allied liberal constituencies against each other.  Rarer still is when divisions show within both ends of the political spectrum.

“When seconds count, the police are minutes away.”

I’ve answered many questionnaires, and attended several candidates’ forums, mostly right-leaning.  Unsurprisingly, I’ve seen a few attendees donning sidearms.

It goes without saying that we’re a safer community when people carry.  It’s only when we are robbed of the natural human right to defend ourselves that trouble starts to boil over.

That’s why I’m somewhat curious about conservatives’ general opposition to Prop B, especially when a jittery person could sic the police on them for so little as a misinterpreted glance, nevermind the prospect of what’s going on up in Ontario.

It is a basic municipal function to have officers of the peace.  Just as with the protection of private property rights, it’s a key to economic growth.  As such, I fully support its existence. 

I also get the wariness however, that some folks have of those who voluntarily sign up to enforce laws that regulate victimless crimes, such as gambling.

At the end of the day, I don’t support defunding the police, whose budget actually went up last year.  Unless I’m missing the part where it deprives them of being adequately equipped to do their job, I don’t see where this proposition does that.

Would it “defund” some police?  Perhaps, and here’s where some confusion reigns.

“Just because there’s one bad cop, it doesn’t mean they’re all bad, because they’re all good.”

Pro-freedom forces recognize the right of the people to associate with others.  It’s a source of unions’ legitimacy.  Pro-market forces have seen the drag though, that they tend to exert on economic dynamism, and subsequently prosperity. 

They have countered this by enacting right-to-work laws, which allow an individual to enter into employment (an association itself) free of compulsory union membership. 

As their rolls have declined in the private sector, organized labor has retained a foothold in that of the public.  Regardless of the industry, they tend to protect the lowest common denominator.  We’ve seen this in teachers’ unions. 
Conservatives used to recognize this.

Now we have them on the national stage encouraging the organization of Amazon employees, and on the local stage defending the ones in the public sector.

Some are so anxious to get elected that they compare defunding a whole entity like the police department, with doing the same to a doctor.

It’s especially odd when coming from a small business owner who knows they could certainly be “defunded” if they don’t satisfy their customers.

And that’s what we’re talking about here; removing the protective shield of collectivization, when individuals would more likely to be held accountable. 

I’m still wrestling with Prop B.  A debate recently between FixSAPD and the SAPD didn’t help all that much. 

Between the former wanting to essentially add another layer of public bureaucracy, and the latter seemingly wanting to stay in a cocoon because there are no “guarantees” in life, it’s still muddy for me. 

Maybe without collective bargaining, only the most gung-ho would join the force, a scenario that’s not all that palatable to those who feel some cops are already too much so.

Perhaps incentivizing cooler heads to join the force, with above-market-equilibrium compensation, is worth the calming effect they would have.

I wish I’d had a few more moments to chat with Mr. Clark.  We were just two dudes beginning to pick each other’s’ brain about our respective campaign experiences, neither of us feeling the need to throw red meat to our respective crowds. 
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I suspect we’d be able to affect positive change better that way.

When George W. Bush not only won reelection in 2004, but saw his republican majority in the senate padded to fifty-five, I started daydreaming about the possibilities. 

While he went the direction of reforming social security, a necessary venture for which he pushed the good idea to return some control to taxpayers, my mind drifted toward tax reform. 

He’d cut them right out of the gate, and then again in 2003.  Though he campaigned on dropping the top marginal rate from almost 40% to 33%, the legislative sausage-making process spit out 35%.

That was better than nothing, but it made me wonder: why not lob the opening salvo from the most ideal territory, like a flat 5% rate?  The same principle applies to property taxes, but I’d go further, to 0%.

We don’t tax food, and we have the occasional sales tax holiday for clothes (there could probably be more of those); why do we tax the roof over our head?  Why not tax only luxuries?

The tired response you’ll typically hear is that a tax on consumption is “regressive.”  That means that the lower a person’s income, the higher the effective tax rate they would pay.

Even though taxing income and property deters the behavior that creates widespread community wealth, the word “regress” is politically calculated to tug at emotional heartstrings. 

In actuality, resisting a consumption tax implies an entitlement to goods and services above and beyond necessities.
 
The irony is, despite politicians’ manipulative ploys, the level we pay on our purchases would likely not have to rise to compensate for the lost property tax revenue.  We might actually be able to cut it.

“Whoa, whoa, whoa!  How could we possibly have enough tax revenue to fund government then??”

Your standard political slickster (mostly on the left, but a disconcerting number on the right) would whip out the political canard that “tax cuts do not pay for themselves.” 

This is part self-serving, part flat-out ignorance.

As to the former, the vast majority of politicians will always fear not having enough money to spend, the act of which is always and everywhere the sole reason for debt and deficits. 

If they could be cured of the illusion of virtuousness they derive from failing to realize their good intentions with others’ money, public balance sheets would take a turn for the better.

The latter manifests itself in their disrespect for wealth-creating citizens, and their static worldview.

They do have a clue that when we’re taxed less, we have greater purchasing power.  Where they slip, and regrettably peddle to the masses, is the notion that consumer spending powers the economy. 

It does no such thing.  It literally destroys the value created by the real fuel of prosperity: production. 

This process is spearheaded by the precious few amongst us who have the requisite intestinal fortitude.  The least government could do is stop robbing them of the incentive to take the dive.

When these visionaries plow $1 more into their idea, that’s $1 more of capital they need to invest to keep the proverbial assembly line going.  It’s $1 more they need to spend on the human capital to operate it.

It’s $1 more that other employers will have to spend to compete for/retain this labor.  Except by this point, anyone who gives more than a moment’s thought knows we’re talking about more than $1 more.

There are some influences in this area that are beyond our control.

Loose monetary policy set forth by Washington D.C. tends to drive investors into safer, more stable assets.  Oil is one, housing is another.  This in turn artificially drives up their respective prices.

Short-term market fundamentals are another. 

If the value of your home is rising, it’s a sign that you are where people want to be.  Opportunities in general are abundant.  Taken at face value, who doesn’t like to see the value of their assets appreciate?

Government wanting to wet its beak more as a result is the only problem, and doing it via property taxes isn’t fair to anyone.

Along with the culture and character of historic neighborhoods, it’s a main source of the concern regarding gentrification.  It tilts the scales away from longtime residents when apartment developers get an exemption.  

Plus, it’s an unequal, uneven way to fund public education. 
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We should be serious about property taxes, and that means starting the conversation from their total elimination.  Anything else is an exercise in keeping alive a political football to provide all sides red meat to throw to their respective camps.